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Politics Best Posts: 2024 General Election Thread

  1. Ricky
    Posts: 41,580
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    Joined: Jul 15, 2015

    Ricky

    Oct 1, 2020
    I'm sorry Mr. Worm, I do not pay attention to foreign politics, so I wasn't aware of your post. I will do better next time.

    - Official Post By Hip-Hop CEO: Rick James
     
    #308
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  2. DKC
    Posts: 23,398
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    Joined: Nov 23, 2014

    DKC shortygonletmecrush

    Oct 1, 2020
    Oh I was just talking out my a--- I wasn't being serious lol. It's dumb to make a blanket statement about all of europe because it's so many different countries. If I moved from the USA I don't think I would go to Europe I'd rather go to Canada, Australia, or somewhere in Latin America like Mexico, Panama, or Costa Rica. But to be fair I have only been to the UK and France 15 years ago so there's probably some place I'd like enough to live there. I def want to see more of europe when the pandemic subsides.

    As for why people wanna come to the USA despite the racism, I'm sure that varies by person and country and situation too. For some they are coming from extremely poor countries with not many opportunities, some they are escaping genocide or totalitarian governments or famine, some just want to come because they can make USD to send it back home. For all of its problems the USA still has a lot of opportunities for a higher standard of living than many other places. Doesn't mean it's perfect or immune to criticism.
     
    #296
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  3. reservoirGod
    Posts: 11,864
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    Joined: Mar 7, 2011
    Location: Alaska

    reservoirGod reckless adventurer.

    Sep 30, 2020
     
    #275
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  4. Wreckless
    Posts: 13,114
    Likes: 30,108
    Joined: May 18, 2015

    Wreckless

    Sep 30, 2020
    Seriously, how is this creepy old f--- even allowed to run for Office?

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
    #274
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  5. Wreckless
    Posts: 13,114
    Likes: 30,108
    Joined: May 18, 2015

    Wreckless

    Sep 30, 2020
    100%

    You gotta be sharp for a job like that. Have the energy for it. 70 should be the cutoff imo.
     
    #271
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  6. icecube
    Posts: 9,840
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    Joined: Feb 15, 2011
    Location: London

    icecube West Coast is the Best Coast

    Sep 30, 2020
    People rightfully take the piss out of Boris Knob-head Johnson
     
    #267
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  7. ZxiJilance
    Posts: 69
    Likes: 115
    Joined: May 17, 2015
    Location: Toronto

    ZxiJilance Banned

    Sep 30, 2020
    _20200914_132252.JPG
     
    #256
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  8. icecube
    Posts: 9,840
    Likes: 20,437
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011
    Location: London

    icecube West Coast is the Best Coast

    Sep 30, 2020
    As far as I'm concerned, if Trump gets reelected then the time travellers from last year or the year before were right and I'm switching my life savings into Bitcoin.
     
    #244
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    May 19, 2026
  9. Oldboy
    Posts: 51,226
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    Joined: Feb 14, 2011

    Oldboy

    Sep 29, 2020
    ;””””””””””(
     
    #234
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  10. Enigma
    Posts: 15,313
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    Joined: Nov 27, 2014

    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 29, 2020


    Right in line with Biden’s national lead lol. More polls to come for sure but this is a good indicator that there probably won’t be much movement after tonight lol.
     
    #233
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  11. Worm
    Posts: 15,750
    Likes: 61,847
    Joined: Feb 15, 2011
    Location: New Jersey

    Worm Big Perm Big Worm

    Sep 29, 2020
    watching the baseball playoffs how's it looking?
    [​IMG]
     
    #215
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  12. RetiredAccount
    Posts: 11,791
    Likes: 22,247
    Joined: Nov 28, 2014

    RetiredAccount Big Time Stuntin Like My Daddy

    Sep 29, 2020
    lol Biden's about to throw hands.
     
    #212
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  13. KMurda
    Posts: 1,603
    Likes: 4,452
    Joined: Dec 13, 2014

    KMurda

    Sep 29, 2020
    Who’s jacked for the debate tonight?
     
    #196
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  14. JMG
    Posts: 16,252
    Likes: 39,131
    Joined: Dec 3, 2014

    JMG

    Sep 19, 2020
    I'm sure it did exist but now the chances of a contested election are much greater. Does anyone think this will be decided in November? Yeah there is hypocrisy but its not one way.. The bottom line is this is politics and both sides are gonna do whatever to get that seat. I hope Trump picks a black woman. Would be interesting to see how the Dems handled that.

    But im curious what happens if it is 4-4? What is the tie breaker if there is one? @Enigma
     
    #187
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  15. Alchemist34
    Posts: 5,096
    Likes: 11,602
    Joined: Feb 22, 2011

    Alchemist34 DO MY HEAD

    Sep 9, 2020
    Trump’s colossal a--- division has reached even the general public in Australia. My fb feed for the past year is daily arguments about the latest Trump scandal articles between random aussies who’ve never given a s--- about even local politics and are now suddenly U.S politics pundits who’d love to be able to vote in the U.S 2020 election. Same as the U.K

    There’s also all the young people in the U.S who are finally old enough to vote now after having been bombarded non stop with trump/Hillary/Biden news for the past few years. If those latest polls already generally account for all of this then I’ve just way overestimated how much difference new blood would make
     
    #168
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  16. Enigma
    Posts: 15,313
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 9, 2020
    Yup. It’s one of the reasons why it’s going to be difficult for the Trump campaign to cut down the lead. Both candidates are known figures & opinions of them are largely already made up. It also doesn’t help that the #1 issue voters care about the most is the pandemic which most Americans disapprove Trump’s handling of. Trump does have an electoral college advantage so he really just needs to cut down the national lead to +4 Biden to have a decent shot at re-election & +3 Biden for it to be a coin flip. It’s doable. Trump did get some favorable polls in Florida today which outside of Pennsylvania is the most important state in this election. Biden is lagging behind Clinton in Latino support there.
     
    #163
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  17. Enigma
    Posts: 15,313
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 8, 2020
    It’s going to take a lot for voters to be influenced by the debates. I mean we may see some movement in polls after each debate but I’m talking actual sustained shift in voters vote choice is going to take a lot. Biden (or Trump) would have to completely fall apart or something for the needle to really move & stay there through the remainder of the election. It also doesn’t help Trump that he continues to lower the bar for Biden. Attacking him as “dumb/stupid; can’t talk; can’t answer questions; low energy” etc. Makes it a lot easier for Biden to exceed expectations.

    The goal for the Biden campaign in these debates is to at bare minimum keep it even. If there’s no clear winner in these debates, polls won’t move & Biden can just run out the clock. The Trump campaign needs at least one big debate performance with emphasis on the last debate because that’ll be the last nation wide political event before Election Day. Come mid October, if the Trump campaign doesn’t close the gap by at least 2 points (~+5.5 Biden), im not sure there’s many legal options they have left to win the election. Even at +5.5 Biden 2-3 weeks before the election, I wouldn’t feel the safest but it’s not a position an incumbent president would want to be in.

     
    #160
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  18. DKC
    Posts: 23,398
    Likes: 81,798
    Joined: Nov 23, 2014

    DKC shortygonletmecrush

    Sep 8, 2020
    Obviously Trump is horrifyingly bad when it comes to actually debating but he’s an entertainer at heart and that resonates with people regardless of whether or not he really says anything of substance. I’d like to think that’s not gonna matter as much this time cuz he’s already in office (so it’s not like his schtick is new, people who love it are already convinced lol) and he’s going against someone who, like you said, many swing voters actually find relatable.

    I also don’t really have a frame of reference for how much these debates really influence voters. My guess would be gaffes affect people’s perception the most because that’s the type of thing that makes headlines and people will see clips of over and over on fox and msnbc.
     
    #159
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  19. Enigma
    Posts: 15,313
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    Enigma Civil liberties > Police safety

    Sep 8, 2020
    We are now in the beginning of the 4th quarter of this Presidential election! What do polling averages say?



    Biden still fairly comfortably ahead by +7.5 nationally. He’s floated around 7.5-8.5 for a majority of the summer. He’s gone up as high as +10 & as low as +6.9. Clinton at her peak in 2016 led by +7.6 & by +4 on Election Day in comparison. What do the models say though?



    Biden is currently favored with a 72% chance of winning the election. Trump still has a significant chance of winning at 28%, that’s better than 1/4 odds. Similar to earlier in the summer though, main reason Trump’s odds still look decent is because we still have 2 months until the election & no debates have happened yet. If nothing changes from now till November, Trump’s chances would be less than 10%. In other words, he still has ground to make up but not all that much.

    football analogy: Biden is up by 14 in the beginning of the 4th Quarter. Game could go either way. Trump could score a TD & make this a close game or Biden could score a TD & make it a blow out. Biggest issue for Trump is that this race has been historically stable. Time is running out & he doesn’t have many opportunities left to “score TDs.” He has the debates & that’s really it.
     
    #155
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  20. dkdnfbdjdkdddjdjfvcgfl
    Posts: 3,936
    Likes: 8,490
    Joined: Oct 9, 2015

    dkdnfbdjdkdddjdjfvcgfl

    Sep 2, 2020
    lets hope.
     
    #143
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